david

Micro-Bubbles Are Constantly Building and Bursting

Companies that don’t adapt when bubbles pop will be swept away
In between these once-a-decade macro-shocks, there are mini-shocks that affect certain kinds of companies or certain stages, where investors reevaluate their fundraising criteria.  We had the SoftBank shock, which was a mini-shock in late-stage rounds, where all of a sudden people started re-examining late-stage valuations for certain kinds of companies. More

‘High-Burn Startup Meets Macro-Shock’ Is a Recipe for Blitzfail

Coronavirus is the decade’s first macro-shock
I published “Blitzfail” in late February, and the last pitfall on the list is: macro-shock meets unprepared company.  A week later, Sequoia published “Coronavirus: The Black Swan of 2020.” We’re going into one of these periods where some macro-shock hits the startup ecosystem and fundraising either dries up completely or investors reevaluate their fundraising criteria. More